How cellphone dependency affects the election
This has been my own hunch, and I see it has been confirmed by someone who has more knowledge than me, or at least their own website. I myself don't have a landline. Neither do the vast majority of my twenty-something year old friends. And they are all voting for Kerry, and some of them actually live in states that count. Perhaps I am sheltered, but I don't personally know a single person around my age without a landline who is voting for Bush. Then again, statistically no one cares about us and who we want to vote for because we vote less often than old people with landlines.
"As I have discussed repeatedly, normally people with a cell phone but no landline are not polled. Most of these are in the 18-29 year old group. Up until now, no one has known how their absence from the polling data might affect the results. Zogby has now conducted a very large (N = 6039) poll exclusively on cell phones using SMS messaging to get a feeling of how they will vote. The results are that they go strongly for Kerry, 55% to 40%, with a margin of error of only 1.2%. If they all vote tomorrow, the pollsters are going to spend the rest of the week wiping egg from their faces. But historically, younger voters have a miserable turnout record, so the pollsters need not yet stock up on paper towels."